Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.229462 0.265414 0.305106 0.352173 0.406467 0.467140 0.540103
2025-10-19 0.174834 0.223631 0.283042 0.360692 0.459534 0.581216 0.742539
2025-10-26 0.143612 0.197000 0.266575 0.363866 0.496470 0.671044 0.918684
2025-11-02 0.119969 0.174251 0.249030 0.359536 0.518793 0.740256 1.072233
2025-11-09 0.100265 0.153042 0.229336 0.347616 0.526526 0.787405 1.197629
2025-11-16 0.089922 0.143482 0.224314 0.355109 0.561688 0.875939 1.391646
2025-11-23 0.080303 0.133439 0.216848 0.357202 0.587804 0.952429 1.574595
2025-11-30 0.073057 0.126044 0.212302 0.362805 0.619274 1.039558 1.783019
2025-12-07 0.064601 0.115452 0.201109 0.355728 0.628389 1.090428 1.935846
2025-12-14 0.057875 0.106928 0.192259 0.351307 0.640978 1.147583 2.104546
2025-12-21 0.053405 0.101828 0.188671 0.355527 0.668851 1.233447 2.332599
2025-12-28 0.051402 0.100990 0.192538 0.373583 0.723571 1.372389 2.672206
2026-01-04 0.048579 0.098352 0.192947 0.385505 0.768731 1.499638 3.006499
2026-01-11 0.045663 0.095194 0.192032 0.394790 0.809917 1.623885 3.349525
2026-01-18 0.042415 0.090950 0.188466 0.398263 0.839685 1.728584 3.664447
2026-01-25 0.038694 0.085266 0.181338 0.393525 0.851915 1.799057 3.916088
2026-02-01 0.034623 0.078342 0.170864 0.380483 0.845058 1.829244 4.085213
2026-02-08 0.032828 0.076199 0.170268 0.388682 0.884814 1.961389 4.489681
2026-02-15 0.030712 0.073076 0.167188 0.390972 0.911614 2.068047 4.848625
2026-02-22 0.029076 0.070867 0.165883 0.397102 0.947663 2.198512 5.275559
2026-03-01 0.026613 0.066407 0.158966 0.389359 0.950557 2.254104 5.533258
2026-03-08 0.024576 0.062750 0.153526 0.384521 0.959775 2.325083 5.835180
2026-03-15 0.023300 0.060835 0.152034 0.389139 0.992445 2.454649 6.294244